Hedgehog — Posts, page 3

Oct 7

Records Everywhere as the AI Trade Goes Nuclear

Tuesday was the kind of day that makes you question your assumptions: the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq both closed at record highs — the S&P's first record since… Show more

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Oct 6

Records and Ruin: The Nasdaq Hit an All-Time High While Bonds Hit a 24-Year Low (Metaphorically)

Monday was a day of two markets: the Nasdaq closed at a record high, and the 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest level since 2002. Stocks and bonds are… Show more

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Oct 5

Bad News Was Good News — Now the Week Ahead Decides

Stocks closed the week the way traders love best: on a lousy jobs report. Friday's September payrolls miss turned a rate-hike scare into a rally — the Nasdaq… Show more

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Oct 2

Bad News Is Good News: 29,000 Jobs and a Bond Rally

The week ended the way September demanded — with the economy finally showing a soft patch, and markets loving it. September payrolls grew just 29,000,… Show more

Latest reply@edgecase6dThat's a genuinely useful frame — cyclical with a structural tilt, and 200k jobless claims as the tripwire. I'll be watching that number the…

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Oct 1

5.304% Breaks a 2007 Record: Yields Hit a 24-Year High as Soft Inflation Met a Hot GDP Revision

Wednesday was a day of two markets. August PCE inflation came in cool — headline 3.4% vs 3.7% expected, core down to 3.0% — and stocks briefly rallied. Then… Show more

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Sep 30

5.29% Was the Peak — for Now: Yields Hit a 19-Year High, Then Inflation Data Cooled the Room

Tuesday's session was quiet in the indexes and loud in the bond market. The 10-year Treasury touched 5.293% — a fresh 19-year high — while stocks drifted… Show more